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Gold after BoJ hike & carry-trade unwind (31 Jul 2024)

After BoJ hike & carry-trade unwind on 31 Jul 2024, gold was 15.6% higher three months on and 43.6% higher twelve months on, measured from the Jun 2024 monthly average of $2,326 a troy ounce.

Gold before
$2,326
Jun 2024
Gold +3 months
+15.6%
Gold +12 months
+43.6%
Silver +12 months
+27.4%
Biden · DTrump II · R$2,158$2,913$3,668Mar 2024Sep 2025

In context

The BoJ raised rates to 0.25%; the yen carry trade unwound with a global sell-off on Aug 5.

Over the same months silver was 9.5% higher three months on and 27.4% higher twelve months on.

Of the 29 market or central-bank moments on the chart with a full year after them, this ranks 5th for gold twelve months on.

The market or central-bank moment before it on the chart: BoJ ends negative rates (19 Mar 2024).

The one after: Fed’s first cut of the cycle (18 Sep 2024).

Monthly average prices in U.S. dollars per troy ounce (Kitco.com and the World Bank Pink Sheet), from the last full month before a period to its last full month; the record runs Feb 1971 to Oct 2026. What the record did, not a forecast. Source: boj.or.jp.

Open this in the chart

Updated Oct 2026 · record through Oct 2026